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Perspective
(So) What If You Miss the Market’s N Best Days?
June 5, 2025
This post revisits and refutes a long-standing argument against market timing—that missing just a few of the market’s best days can devastate returns—by demonstrating its logical flaws and statistical irrelevance. Using both historical and out-of-sample data, it shows that the risks and rewards of market timing are more symmetric than commonly portrayed.
White Paper
Why Are Bond Investors Contrarian While Equity Investors Extrapolate?
May 27, 2025
This article explores the contrast in how investors form long-run expectations in equity and bond markets. It also examines very long run trends in financial market variables and potential implications for the future.
White Paper
Go Small or Go Home
May 6, 2025
This article explores why small caps, especially in the international and emerging regions, present a compelling investment opportunity driven by the potential for higher expected market returns, attractive earnings growth, strong diversification benefits, and rich alpha opportunities.
White Paper
Portable Alpha: Why Now?
February 20, 2025
As stock market valuations continue to rise and expected returns correspondingly fall, many investors are hoping to rely more on alpha from active management to make up for a potential future return gap. Unfortunately, long-only active management has struggled during recent history. We review why portable alpha may be an attractive alternative solution in today’s market environment. We also discuss what aspects of a portable alpha solution are important for investors to consider when selecting between implementations.
White Paper
A New Paradigm in Active Equity
February 5, 2025
Equity market concentration and technological innovation are two hot topics for active equity investors today. We argue that a systematic approach is uniquely positioned to capitalize on these topics.
White Paper
Portable Alpha: Still A Great Solution For Improving Return Outcomes
July 30, 2024
In the face of lower-than-average expected returns for equities, some investors may be considering adding active management to their equity allocations. However, the evidence supporting active long-only equities has long been underwhelming. We review an alternative approach – portable alpha.
Journal Article
Levering Up to Do Good: Direct Long-Short Investing and Charitable Giving
April 23, 2024
We use historical strategy simulations to evaluate the advantages of donating appreciated stock in the context of tax-aware long-short factor strategies. We find long-short strategies exhibit several advantages over long-only investments.
Quick Takes
Top Three Investment Ideas to Consider for 2024
February 26, 2024
We highlight value, alternative trend strategies, and emerging market equities as top three investment ideas to consider for 2024.
Perspective
Why Not 100% Equities
February 12, 2024
Recently, a new paper has been making a big splash in our small pond of academic/quant investing. By “new,” I just mean “recently written,” as much of it ain’t new. In this piece, I offer a concise (relative to my norm) rebuttal, as this is well-trod ground.